Aaron Jones First Touchdown Scorer Prop Has Value On TNF

  • Aaron Jones has +800 odds to be the first touchdown scorer of the game.
  • Davante Adams and Allen Lazard have both been ruled OUT due to COVID-19.

GLENDALE, Ariz. – The Green Bay Packers will take on the Arizona Cardinals undermanned at the wide receiver position. This brings Aaron Jones value of his prop betting lines.

Aaron Jones First Touchdown Scorer (+800)

Aaron Jones should be in line for an increased workload on Thursday night against the Arizona Cardinals. Even with the projected unfavorable game script of the Green Bay Packers being 6.5-point underdogs on online gambling sites, Jones has betting value in his props.

First Touchdown Scorer

  • DeAndre Hopkins +650
  • Aaron Jones +800
  • James Conner +850
  • Kyler Murray +1000
  • Chase Edmonds +1100
  • A.J. Green +1100
  • Zach Ertz +1400
  • Randall Cobb +1400
  • Marquez Valdes-Scantling +1400

Aaron Jones gets a lot of volume in the red zone that could help him be the first player to cross the goal line. He’s received 21.6% of the red zone targets on the season and 20% of the targets inside the 10-yard line.

In the rushing game, he has 24 of the 33 team rushing attempts in the red zone (72.7%) which makes his total usage in the red zone (either targets or rush attempts) 43.2% of the team’s total red zone plays.

How Davante Adams’ Absence Helps

There’s no denying the impact Davante Adams has in the offense has he has 45 more targets than any other player on the team. However, Jones benefits from Adams being OUT due to him being the biggest threat to his red zone usage.

Adams accounts for 27% of the total targets inside the 20-yard line and 26.6% of the total targets inside the 10-yard line. He’s the only player on the team with a higher usage than Jones which should make Jones the clear-cut top option near the goal line.

Those betting on the NFL  should also note that Adams has accounted for two of Green Bay’s first touchdowns with Allen Lazard, who’s also OUT, accounting for one other. This makes Jones and his backup, AJ Dillon, the only position players in the game who have scored the team’s first touchdown.