Bills Defense Makes Trevor Lawrence Unlikely To Hit Player Props

  • Trevor Lawrence has -114 odds to pass for more than 225.5 passing yards.
  • The Buffalo Bills defense is the best in the league against the pass.
  • Lawrence has +145 odds to pass for more than 1.5 touchdowns.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. - Trevor Lawrence is one of the top rookie QBs in the NFL, but he faces a tough test in the form of the Buffalo Bills defense on Sunday.

The Bills are allowing the fewest total yards per game in the NFL, with 269, which should negatively impact Lawrence, a player who can pass as well as run.

Trevor Lawrence Passing Yards O/U Odds

  • Over 225.5 -114
  • Under 225.5 -114

Lawrence has passed for more than 225.5 yards in four of his seven games played so far, including his last three consecutively. It seems possible that he’s figuring out how to be a better QB as the season goes on - his worst games by passing yardage were in weeks two, three and four.

Lawrence is faced with a Buffalo Bills defense that is only allowing 269 total yards per game, and only 182.4 passing yards per game.

There is no comparable defense in the NFL betting world - the Bills are utterly dominant in all facets of defense, and Lawrence will be hard-pressed to hit his O/U lines against them.

Trevor Lawrence Passing Touchdowns O/U Odds

  • Over 1.5 +145
  • Under 1.5 -192

Lawrence has been a touchdown threat this year, but two of his ten touchdowns have come on the ground rather than in the air.

He’s only had one game this year with more than 1.5 touchdowns in the air, and that game was against the Houston Texans.

The Bills are not only the best defense against the pass in terms of yards, but they’re also the best pass defense in terms of passing touchdowns, giving up an average of 0.7 passing TDs per game.

This makes them the only team in the league that averages less than one passing touchdown surrendered per game.

In this context, it makes a ton of sense why a rookie QB who has only thrown for more than one touchdown one time would be expected to hit under 1.5 touchdowns.

Trevor Lawrence Rushing Yards O/U Odds

  • Over 16.5 -114
  • Under 16.5 -114

Lawrence has legs, but he’s used them less in recent weeks. In weeks 2-5, he hit over 16.5 rushing yards each game, but since then, he has not hit it at all.

He might need to scramble against a tough Bills defense, and online gambling fans should know that he has the athletic talent to do some damage on the ground if the Bills slip into Cover 2 looks against him.

Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars will take on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday at 1:00 p.m. EST. The game will be broadcast on NFL Network and CBS.