Chiefs, Bucs, Bills Head Into Week 5 With Best Odds To Win SB

  • The Kansas City Chiefs (+550) hold the best odds to win the Super Bowl despite a 2-2 (1-3 ATS) start.
  • Tampa Bay (+600), Buffalo (+750) round out the top three best betting odds to win the Lombardi Trophy in 2022.

NEW YORK – After Week 4’s slate of games, three teams have separated themselves on internet sportsbooks as the frontrunners to win Super Bowl LVI.

Kansas City Chiefs, (2-2, 1-3 ATS) (+550 Odds To Win The Super Bowl)

The Kansas City Chiefs currently hold the best odds to win the Super Bowl in 2022 at (+550).

After losing two straight games to the Ravens and the Chargers, Kansas City picked up a 42-30 win over the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 4, covering the spread as 7 point favorites – the first time they have covered the spread in their last eight games.

While Week 4’s victory was certainly a step in the right direction for the Chiefs, it may be difficult for them to realize their potential as a team with the best betting odds to win the Super Bowl. They have the most difficult remaining schedule in the NFL. The Chiefs’ remaining opponents hold a collective .653 winning percentage, .053% higher than the next-most difficult schedule in the NFL.

After leading all tight ends in receiving yards in 2020, opposing defenses have seemingly begun to key in on Travis Kelce, who caught just 4 passes for 23 yards in Week 4, falling short of both his total receptions prop (7.5, -115) and his receiving yards prop (92.5, -110). While this attention allowed Tyreek Hill to have a huge performance (11 receptions for 186 yards and 3 touchdowns), the Chiefs will need Kelce to bounce back against the Bills (and for the remainder of the season), with Buffalo’s secondary – led by top coverage cornerback Tre’Davious White – likely to key in on Hill.

The Chiefs opened as 2.5-point favorites (-105) with (-145) moneyline odds on internet sportsbooks for their Week 5 showdown against the Bills.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1, 1-3 ATS) (+600 To Win Super Bowl)

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers hold the second-best odds to win Super Bowl 56 at (+600).

In Week 4, the Buccaneers squeaked out a 19-17 victory over the New England Patriots, failing to cover the spread as 6.5-point favorites and falling to just 1-3 against the spread.

While the offense was not its usual self, the establishment of the running game was a positive note for Bucs futures bettors. Coming into Week 4, the Bucs had primarily leaned on the passing game, attempting 141 passes compared to just 48 rushing attempts. That changed in the pouring rain against New England, as Leonard Fournette tallied 20 carries, nearly doubling his rushing attempts prop of 10.5 (-115).

If Fournette can continue to shoulder a workload like the one he received in Week 4, the Buccaneers offense becomes even more dangerous. It remains to be seen if Fournette’s huge increase in carries (he tallied 4 carries in Week 3, 11 in Week 2, and 9 in Week 1) was a result of the weather conditions or a concerted effort by head coach Bruce Arians to get him the ball more; if it is the latter, expect the passing game to see a boost in efficiency as opposing defenses begin to respect the running game.

More good news for the Bucs: Tampa Bay has the 8th-weakest remaining schedule in the NFL, with their remaining opponent’s winning percentage just .442. The Bucs take on the 1-3 Dolphins in Week 5 as 9.5-point favorites (-110).

Buffalo Bills (3-1, 3-1 ATS) (+750 To Win Super Bowl)

The Buffalo Bills hold the third-best odds to win this year’s Super Bowl at (+750) after opening with (+1100) odds.

Their impressive 3-1 start should be primarily credited to the defensive unit. The Bill’s defense has allowed just 867 total yards through their first four games, the fewest in the NFL.

They have been slightly better against the pass, allowing just 595 passing yards (best in the league) and 272 rushing yards (4th best), though they have allowed just 1 rushing touchdown on the season (also the best in the NFL).

As impressive as the defense has been, the offense has been very good as well. Last week, the Bills’ offense put up 40 points on the Houston Texans, covering the spread as huge 18.5-point favorites.

One of the key developments on the offensive side of the ball in Week 4 was the emergence of running back Zack Moss, who tallied 14 carries for 1 touchdown in Week 4 after receiving just 21 carries in the prior three games combined.

Moss’ rise will make it difficult on opposing defenses – especially in the red zone – where opponents will have to account for Moss, Josh Allen, and Stefon Diggs, as Moss is a stereotypical early-down and goal-line power back as opposed to Devin Singletary, who is more of a scat back.

The Bills have the second-easiest remaining schedule in the league, with their remaining opponents holding a collective .365 winning percentage. The Bills will face one of their few remaining difficult matchups in Week 5 as they take on the Kansas City Chiefs as 2.5-point underdogs (-105) with (+125) moneyline odds.