- The Miami Dolphins are 10.5-point underdogs to the Buffalo Bills in the Wildcard round.
- The line opened at Dolphins +11, but has moved to Dolphins +10.5, and is still the largest of the WC round.
- The O/U is 44.5, and both teams have trends pointing either way.
BUFFALO, N.Y. - The Buffalo Bills are ten-point favorites over the Miami Dolphins, and should arguably be favored even more.
The first round of the AFC Playoffs sees the Bills – one of the most dominant teams in the NFL – facing off with the Dolphins – a team who may be without their starting quarterback, Tua Tagovailoa.
Oh, and the Bills are at home.
Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Playoff Odds
- Miami Dolphins +10.5 -110
- Buffalo Bills -10.5 -110
The line actually opened with the Bills favored by 11 points, but it has since dipped slightly to 10.5.
This is the largest online gambling point spread of the first round of the NFL Playoffs, with only the San Francisco 49ers-Seattle Seahawks spread even coming close.
The Dolphins have not covered the spread in any of their last four playoff games. However, they have covered the spread in five of their last six games against AFC teams.
Buffalo has actually been fairly poor against teams with winning records recently, with a 1-4 ATS record against them.
Still, much of Miami’s winning record was acquired with Tagovailoa under center – one could argue they aren’t the same team as they were, and the online sportsbooks know it.
Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Playoff O/U Odds
- Over 44.5 -110
- Under 44.5 -110
The Dolphins have been big on Unders entering this game. The Under has hit in their last five games in the Wildcard round. The Under has hit in five of their last seven games following ATS wins.
However, they also have some trends pointing to the over. The Over has hit in six of their last seven road games, as well as seven of their last nine games on turf.
As for the Bills, the Over has hit in four of their last five playoff games, as well as four of their last five home games.
However, the Under has hit in seven of their last ten AFC games, as well as six of their last eight games against teams with winning records – although the same Tua caveat applies to the Dolphins as far as being a team with a winning record.
Will The Dolphins Cover? Y/N