NBA Betting: Best Paolo Banchero Prop Bets vs. Pelicans

  • Paolo Banchero has -106 odds to go over 19.5 points against the New Orleans Pelicans.
  • Banchero has averaged 19.7 points per game this season, and has scored 20 or more points in 29/54 games.
  • The Pelicans’ defensive rating is above 113, and they’re 19th in the league in DRTG.

LAS VEGAS - Paolo Banchero’s prop bets will be in the spotlight as his Orlando Magic take on the New Orleans Pelicans.

Banchero is averaging 19.7 points per game, 3.6 assists per game, and 6.6 rebounds per game – and his O/U lines are all set at almost exactly his averages.

Paolo Banchero Points O/U

  • Over 19.5 -106
  • Under 19.5 -124

Banchero is averaging 19.7 points per game, but the O/U lines for this game on NBA betting sites actually favor the under.

It’s not like the Pelicans are an elite defensive unit. They’re 19th in the NBA in defensive rating, giving up 113 points per 100 possessions.

Banchero has played 54 games this season. In 29 of them, he has gone over 19.5 points. In the remaining 25, he went under.

Paolo Banchero Assists O/U

  • Over 3.5 +127
  • Under 3.5 -167

Banchero is not a player who racks up large numbers of assists, despite his heavy involvement in the Orlando Magic offense – and the online gambling sites know it.

He has gone over 3.5 assists in 26 of his 54 games, meaning he has gone under 3.5 assists in 28 of those games.

Paolo Banchero Rebounds O/U

  • Over 6.5 -115
  • Under 6.5 -113

Banchero’s height and athleticism make him a threat on the glass, and his rebounding has large variance in it – his season high is 16 rebounds, while his season low is only one.

Banchero’s gone over 6.5 rebounds in only 22 of his games this season, going under 6.5 in the remaining 32.

In this context, it makes sense for bettors to take a risk on the -106 over for points, rather than the others.

The points over is the one in which an upset is most likely, since Banchero has hit this O/U more times than he has missed it, and the Pelicans defense is not elite.