NFL Week 4 Game Of The Week: Buccaneers Vs. Patriots

  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are 7-point betting favorites against the New England Patriots.
  • Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Rob Gronkowski all have +400 odds to catch the NFL passing yards record-breaking pass by QB Tom Brady.

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. – Tom Brady making his return to New England makes this an easy choice to be named “Game of the Week”. But which betting lines carry the most value for the big game?

Betting The Spread: Buccaneers -7.0

The New England Patriots opened as 5.5-point underdogs but have since seen the line move a full point and a half in the direction of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Online gambling sites may want to continue this line movement beyond a touchdown.

Patriots Vs. Buccaneers Spread Odds

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers -7.0 -110
  • New England Patriots +7.0 -110

Simply put, this is a battle between two opposites. The average score of a Patriots game has been 18-17, while the average Buccaneers game has been 34-30. In a matchup like this, taking the highest-scoring offense in the NFL will likely prove to be beneficial for sports bettors.

It’ll be much tougher for New England to make a comeback if they fall behind than it would for Tampa Bay, especially considering they already rush the ball less than any team in the league. Defense wins championships but so does Tom Brady.

Tom Brady Record-Breaking Props

Not only will Brady be playing against New England for the first time in his career but he has a chance to break the all-time NFL passing yards record as well. Brady needs just 68 yards to pass Drew Brees and NFL betting sites have set up multiple prop bets on how he will break this record because it's not a question of if but how.

Which Player Will Catch The Record-Breaking Pass

  • Mike Evans +400
  • Chris Godwin +400
  • Rob Gronkowski +400
  • Antonio Brown +550
  • Giovani Bernard +750
  • Leonard Fournette +900
  • Tyler Johnson +1100
  • Cameron Brate +1200
  • O.J. Howard +1200
  • Scotty Miller +1500
  • Ronald Jones II +1500
  • Ke'Shawn Vaughn +5000
  • Jaydon Mickens +5000
  • Jaelon Darden +6600
  • Tom Brady +6600

Statistically speaking, the three favorites of Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, and Rob Gronkowski are all the favorites for a reason. Evans and Godwin lead the team with 25 targets each, while Godwin leads the team with 19 receptions and Evans and Gronkowski trail with 16. Godwin also has the most receiving yards on the team which should make him the most viable option.

How Many Completed Passes For Brady To Break The Record

  • OVER 5.5 -180
  • UNDER 5.5 +140

Brady is averaging 11.2 yards per completion this season. If that average holds true, he should end up at 67 yards after his sixth completion. However, one big completion early in the game could drastically change this outlook as he would need to average just 13.6 yards per completion to break the record in five or fewer completions.

Will Brady Break The Record in the First Quarter?

  • Yes -240
  • No +165

This season, Brady has averaged 91.3 passing yards in the first quarter, well above the required record-breaking number, but the Patriots defense is allowing just 44 passing yards in the first quarter of games this season. This could be a profitable bet for those who think the defense will give Brady trouble early in the game.

NFL history in the making begins on Sunday at 8:20 p.m. EST on the NBC Network.