- Patrick Mahomes has +350 odds to lead the NFL is passing yards in the 2021-2022 season.
- He also is the +300 betting favorite to lead the NFL in passing touchdowns.
- Mahomes has led the league in touchdowns just once in his career and has never done so for passing yards.
LAS VEGAS – Many would agree that Patrick Mahomes is the best player in the NFL and maybe has even been so for a few years. However, he has never led the league in passing yards and has led in passing touchdowns just once.
However, that is expected to change in the upcoming season per NFL gambling sites.
Can Mahomes Throw For The Most Yards?
As he enters his fourth season as a starting quarterback, Patrick Mahomes is expected to accomplish something he has yet to do; lead the league in passing yards. In 2018, Mahomes was just 32 yards behind Ben Roethlisberger in passing yards but did so on 95 fewer attempts.
In 2020, he finished just 83 yards behind Deshaun Watson despite playing in one fewer game.
NFL 2021/22 – Most Passing Yards
- Patrick Mahomes +350
- Dak Prescott +600
- Tom Brady +650
- Josh Allen +800
- Mathew Stafford +1000
- Matt Ryan +1200
- Justin Herbert +1200
- Aaron Rodgers +1500
- Russell Wilson +2000
- Kirk Cousins +2500
- Joe Burrow +2800
- Ryan Tannehill +2800
Now, for the 2021-2022 NFL season, online gambling sites expect Mahomes to break through to the top spot. He clearly has the arm talent, the weapons, and the system to do so, but he could be too talented for his own good when it comes to this category.
Mahomes most passing attempts in his career came in 2020 when he had the fifth-most attempts of any player in the league. He is unable to get much higher due to his team’s success and seemingly always being in the lead which calls for a run-heavy attack to help run out the clock.
Despite being arguably the biggest star in the NFL and best quarterback in the league, the team has thrown the ball the 10th, 10th and 5th most in terms of percent of plays since Mahomes became the starting quarterback.
Will Mahomes Lead The Touchdown Count Again?
In 2018, Mahomes dominated the league by throwing for 50 touchdowns, 11 more than the next best. However, he has been unable to put up league-leading numbers since. Online sportsbooks once again give Mahomes the shortest odds of any athlete.
NFL 2021/22 - Most Passing TD's
- Patrick Mahomes +300
- Tom Brady +550
- Aaron Rodgers +600
- Josh Allen +900
- Russell Wilson +1000
- Dak Prescot +1200
- Matt Ryan +1500
- Mathew Stafford +1500
- Justin Herbert +1800
- Baker Mayfield +2200
- Kirk Cousins +2200
- Ryan Tannehill +2200
- Joe Burrow +2500
It’s fair to give Mahomes shorter odds for most touchdowns than in most yards because it’s less dependent on the number of attempts and more so just on what play calls Andy Reid has when the team inevitably is in the red zone.
Since it’s less predictable in a sense, there are going to be players who are being offered with generous odds that could compete for the top spot.
Josh Allen (+900), who had just one fewer touchdown than Mahomes last season, and Justin Herbert (+1800), who’s only set to improve and had 31 touchdowns in his rookie season, are examples of potential longshots.