Why to Bet the Over for Bucs Cowboys MNF Playoff Meeting

  • The over/under sits at 45.5 points.
  • Since Dak Prescott’s return in Week 7, the Cowboys average 32.5 points per game.
  • The Bucs have given up 27.8 points per game since Week 14.
  • Tom Brady has a playoff record of 5-1 with the Bucs.

TAMPA, Fla. – The 2023 Wild Card Round concludes with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers hosting the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night.

The over/under is 45.5 points at NFL gambling sites and has potential to go either way. But with an explosive Dallas offense and Tom Brady, it’s hard not to like the over.

The Dallas Cowboys have proven they can score, having broken the 30-point mark five times and the 40-point mark three times this season. Also, the over has hit in 5 of their last 7 games.

But what about that stingy Cowboy’s defense? They have been surprisingly generous over that stretch, allowing 25 points per game.

The key for the Bucs is to establish the running game. Despite being eighth in the NFL in passing yards allowed, the Cowboys rank 22 in rushing yards allowed. We know Tom Brady loves to throw the ball, but if the Bucs can establish the run game, Tom will have even more success through the air.

Trust The Bucs Odds (+120)?

Despite being a low-scoring team for most of the season, the Bucs have turned it up a notch as we approach the postseason.

Tampa Bay overs are 4-1 in their last five games.

In Brady’s Buccaneer playoff career, he has never been held to less than 27 points. The Bucs are 5-1 in those games, with their sole loss coming last season to the Super Bowl LVII Champion Los Angeles Rams.

The over is 3-3 in those games.

Both teams have seen improvement from their offense and decline from their defenses, respectively. Recent betting trends suggest there will be plenty of offense in Tampa Bay on Monday night despite the +130 underdog odds at Bovada on both teams to score 20+ points.

Over 45.5 total points?