World Cup Preview: Betting on the United States to Beat Iran

  • The United States is favored over Iran according to FIFA World Cup Betting odds, yet +100 odds are available because of the possibility of a tie.
  • Betting on the United States is a strong option based on the team’s goal differential compared to Iran.
  • Based on Iran's performance against England and the US's opportunity to win the group, bets on the United States to score over 4.5 goals with +1900 odds may be a strong option.

DOHA, Qatar - The United States Men's Soccer Team kicks off their third and final match of the Group Stage against Iran.

Popular FIFA World Cup sportsbook Bovada currently has the US as the betting favorite, although bettors can still get even odds on Christian Pulisic and company advancing because of the possibility of a tie.

United States vs Iran World Cup Betting Odds

  • USA Win: +100
  • Draw: +240
  • Iran Win: +310

Betting On the USA

Soccer gambling sites are giving the United States a strong chance to win, but with odds on the US winning at +100, bettors can get excellent value on the team.

When analyzing the US Soccer standings, it is clear that even though the US ranks third in points they have been the second-best team in the group and should be outright favorites in today's game.

Group B Standings

  • England (4 Points): 1 Win, 1 Draw, +4 Goal Differential
  • Iran (3 Points): 1 Win, 1 Loss, -2 Goal Differential
  • USA (2 Points): 2 Draws, 0 Goal Differential
  • Whales (1 Point): 1 Draw, 1 Loss, -2 Goal Differential

Iran got an impressive upset win against Whales in their most recent match, but England's four-goal victory is a more accurate gauge of the team's talent.

In fact, that large of a loss opens up an interesting bet on the United States to score a lot of goals on Tuesday.

Betting on a USA Offensive Outburst

Online gambling sites have offered some very long prop betting odds on the United States to score many goals today.

United States Goals Prop Bet

  • 0.5 Goals - Over: -340; Under: +265
  • 1.5 Goals - Over: +132; Under: -160
  • 2.5 Goals - Over: +410; Under: -600
  • 3.5 Goals - Over: +1100; Under: -3300
  • 4.5 Goals - Over: +1900; Under: -20000

Based on how the seeding of the World Cup works, betting on the USA to score at least five goals today may payoff large:

  • If the United States wins today and scores five or more goals in the process and England ties Whales, then the US would win Group B. The winner of Group B must face the second-place finisher of Group A, which is likely to be Ecuador who has +10000 odds to win the tournament.
  • If the US finishes second in Group B then they have to play the winner of Group A, which is likely to be the Netherlands which have +1600 odds to win the World Cup.

The betting odds clearly indicate that the Netherlands is a much better team and the US should likely do everything in its power to avoid them, even if it means running up the score.

In addition to the United States' desire to score a lot of goals to avoid the Netherlands, betting on the US to score at least five goals at Bovada may payoff based on Iran's showing against England.

England beat Iran by a score of 6-2, which shows that Iran is capable of allowing a lot of goals in a single match. With half of the Iranian matches resulting in at least five goals through two games, sprinkling bets on the United States to score at least five goals with +1900 odds may be a good bet.

Are you betting on the United States to beat Iran at Bovada?