Barbie Favored To Gross More Than $600 Million

  • Barbie has -140 odds to gross more than $600 million by June 2024.
  • Only nine movies in 2022 reached that mark, and eight of them were franchise movies.
  • The oddsmakers seem to believe that Barbie could be the next franchise to break through.

LAS VEGAS - Barbie, the newest movie about the line of children’s toys, is expected to be something of a smash hit.

The movie releases on June 21, 2023, and online gambling sites have placed odds on it making more than $600 million worldwide within the year.

Barbie Worldwide Gross On 30th June 2024 Odds

  • Over $600 Million -140
  • $600 Million Or Under EVEN

One key to this wager is understanding that it is worldwide gross, not just US gross. This is a difference that is highly significant.

Only 13 movies have grossed more than $600 million domestically, but 177 of them have grossed more than $600 million worldwide.

Here are some of the movies that Barbie would be in competition with at the $600 million level, to get an idea of what level of success would be needed.

Movies Grossing 600+ Million

  • Logan – $619,179,950
  • The Lost World: Jurassic Park – $618,638,999
  • Casino Royale – $616,505,162
  • The Passion of the Christ – $612,054,506
  • Life of Pi – $609,016,565
  • Transformers: The Last Knight – $605,425,157
  • Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa – $603,900,354
  • War of the Worlds – $603,873,119

Here’s one major issue: most of those movies were released years ago, and have had time to build up their box office numbers.

Here’s another one: there are nine movies that grossed over 600 million that came out in 2022. They are:

Movies That Grossed Over $600 Million In 2022

  • Avatar: The Way Of Water
  • Top Gun: Maverick
  • Jurassic World: Dominion
  • Doctor Strange In The Multiverse Of Madness
  • Minions: The Rise Of Gru
  • Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
  • The Batman
  • Thor: Love And Thunder
  • Water Gate Bridge

Eight of these movies were part of existing franchises. One could argue that The Batman wasn’t so much part of an existing franchise as a reimagining of it, and one could argue that Top Gun: Maverick wasn’t the obvious slam-dunk that it ended up being, but they are still part of very recognizable film franchises.

The one exception, Water Gate Bridge, was a movie made for and marketed to almost entirely Asian audiences, with a US gross of just over $100,000.

Barbie, as the first movie in it’s own hopeful franchise, will need to break into these ranks, but the online sportsbooks do seem to believe it will happen.