Diving Into the First Inning Run Prop for Dodgers vs. Padres Game 3

  • The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers face off in Game 3 of the NLDS.
  • There are +115 odds for a run to be scored in the first inning.
  • The Dodgers are the second best team in the league at scoring in the first inning.

SAN DIEGO - The Dodgers and the Padres face off in a pivotal Game 3 in the NLDS, but MLB gambling fans have a chance to follow the math to some value with this prop bet.

Dodgers Vs. Padres – Will There be a Run Scored in the 1st Inning Odds

  • Yes +115
  • No -150

The Dodgers are experts at scoring in the first inning, doing so in 35.37% of their games, second in the league.

The Padres are much further down the list, at 26.35%, which puts them at 20th in the league in terms of the amount of games they score at least one run in the first inning.

To put it another way, the Dodgers do not score in the first inning in 64.63% of games. The Padres do not score in the first inning in 73.65% of games.

By multiplying these percentages together, bettors can get a clear picture of how many times the teams do not score in the first inning, combined.

Dodgers + Padres Scoring Runs In First Inning

  • Score Run – 52.41%
  • Do Not Score Run – 47.59%

Thus, this suggests that it might be good value to take the odds on a run being scored in the first inning, as MLB betting fans who do so will be getting plus odds on something that has happened more than half of the time.

The Dodgers will be rolling out Tony Gonsolin in Game 3, while the Padres will turn to Blake Snell.

Gonsolin allowed 32 runs in 130.1 innings pitched. Snell allowed 48 runs in 128 innings pitched.

Thus, Gonsolin allows a run in 24.62% of his innings pitched, while Snell allows a run in 37.5% of his innings pitched.

This allows bettors to analyze this prop from another angle – the average inning pitched by these two pitchers.

Gonsolin will not give up a run in 75.38% of his innings pitched, while Snell will not give up a run in 62.5% of his innings pitched.

Batting Against Gonsolin + Snell Average Inning

  • Score Run 52.89%
  • Do Not Score Run – 47.11%

This math also suggests that there’s some value to be gained betting on the plus money Yes option for this prop bet.