How Fantasy Projections Match With 2022-23 NFL Season Futures

  • D.J. Moore has +2500 odds to lead the NFL in receiving yards.
  • Breece Hall has +3500 odds to lead in rushing yards with +3500 odds.
  • Justin Herbert is favored to lead the NFL in passing yards and passing touchdowns.

NEW YORK – NFL player props are a huge part to betting on the NFL each season and tons of research goes into betting on them as well. Some of the most popular player props though include different player futures odds for yardage leaders in different categories.

One way to research these odds includes fantasy football projections which can be used to see how analysts see different players performing throughout the season. Some might even find tremendous value on a players odds to lead the league in yardage if their odds aren’t set accordingly.

D.J. Moore Shows Major Value In Receiving Yard Leader

D.J. Moore is coming off of his third straight 1,100+ yard season after posting 1,157 receiving yards which were the 11th most in the league. Looking ahead to the 2022-23 season, ESPN’s fantasy projections  have Moore going for the fourth most receiving yards at 1,174 yards. However, his odds do not showcase that at all as he has the 11th shortest odds to lead the league at +2500.

There are some factors that support Moore’s odds to lead in receiving yards as well with the Panthers having the eighth easiest schedule in the league for wide receivers. Also, while many like to downgrade Baker Mayfield, he is a massive upgrade from Sam Darnold as Darnold went for just over 2,500 yards and 9 touchdowns last season while Baker went for over 3,000 passing yards and 17 touchdowns.

That said, given Moore’s projection and the Panthers upgraded situation under center, his odds could very well offer the most value.

Breece Hall Taking Over Jets Backfield?

While many are quick to overlook any player on the New York Jets, it might be wise to stop and look at rookie RB, Breece Hall, who has +3500 odds to lead the NFL in rushing yards. While these gambling odds might not look too enticing, the value comes with his 10th highest fantasy projection that has him going for 1,029 rushing yards as a rookie.

If projections are correct, Hall could join a list that includes Ezekiel Elliott, Saquon Barkley, and Adrian Peterson amongst many other rookie RBs to rush for 1,000+ yards. The Jets also have a decent schedule for running backs at the 11th easiest in the league.

Something that could play a role in Hall somehow leading the league in rushing yards though is the Jets offensive line that they have been working on. Both Mekhi Becton and Alijah Vera-Tucker have been evolving into some of the top offensive linemen in the league and they also added a veteran in Laken Tomlinson.

Are Justin Herbert’s Odds Too High?

Justin Herbert is favored to lead the league in both passing yards (+750) and passing touchdowns (+550). This comes after Herbert went for the second most passing yards (5,014) and third-most touchdowns (38) last season.

Even Herbert’s fantasy projections back his shortest odds as he is projected to go for the fourth highest passing touchdowns (34) and fifth highest passing yards (4330). Herbert has all the tools to lead the NFL in both categories with a top-tier offensive line and elite weapons in Keenan Allen and Mike Williams to throw to.

That said, his odds are set just right or slightly overvalued.