- Samuel has scored double-digit fantasy points in every game this season, which speaks to his safe floor.
- Samuel is sporting a 44% target share against the blitz this year.
- At $7,800 Samuel does not project to be highly owned this week on DraftKings.
SANTA CLARA, Calif. - The San Francisco 49ers play host to the Arizona Cardinals in an interdivisional clash this Sunday afternoon.
Oddsmakers are expecting a coin-flip type of a game, installing the Arizona Cardinals as one-point favorites on the road. The game total has been set at a modest 45.5 points.
While this game doesn’t jump straight off the page as a friendly game to target, 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel has quietly been putting together a terrific season that NFL DFS players should take note of.
Deebo Samuel $7,800
Deebo Samuel leads all wide receivers in the league with a 34.5% target share on the San Francisco 49ers.
Samuel is coming off a 6-171 performance last week, which won him NFC Offensive Player of the Week. Samuel has been a consistent fantasy option this year for DFS players, scoring 16 or more fantasy points in all but one game.
The 49ers should have plenty of opportunities to pass the ball this, as online gambling sites list them as a single-point home underdog.
With a safe floor, Samuel has scored double-digit fantasy points every game this season.
49ers Against The Blitz
The Arizona Cardinals blitz at the fourth-highest rate (33%) in the league which shouldn’t be an issue for QB Jimmy Garoppolo. Averaging 11.8 yards per passing attempt vs the blitz, Samuel also gets a boost, sporting a 44% target share against the blitz.
In reference, Samuel has a 30% target rate on non-blitz dropbacks. This logic checks out as Deebo Samuel does most of his damage around the line of scrimmage, receiving over 46% of his targets there.
It seems that once Jimmy Garoppolo identifies a blitz, he often looks for Deebo Samuel as his safety valve. The potential return of George Kittle this week will provide Garoppolo with another option when under siege, but Samuel should still be able to get his.
Low Ownership
At $7,800 Samuel does not project to be highly owned this week on DraftKings. Most DFS sites will see players flock to either Stephon Diggs ($7,700 - Jaguars) or Tyreek Hill ($7,900 - Packers).
Samuel has scored over 25 fantasy points four times this season, encouraging DFS players to roster him anytime where he appears to be lower owned by the DFS Industry.