- Kamaru Usman has +115 odds to beat Colby Covington inside the distance.
- Rose Namajunas and Weili Zhang’s fight has -190 odds to complete three full rounds.
- Shane Burgos and Billy Quarantillo have EVEN odds to end their fight before the end of the third round.
LAS VEGAS – UFC 268 is set up to be one of the best fight cards of the year. Not only should it be entertaining to watch, but profitable to bet on.
Kamaru Usman (Inside The Distance) Vs. Colby Covington
Kamaru Usman and Colby Covington have fought once before. Usman ended the fight in the fifth round with a knockout, but he’s gotten so much more impressive since their last fight. Online gambling sites are offering plus-money value on Usman to win by a finish.
Method of Victory Odds
- Kamaru Usman Inside Distance +115
- Kamaru Usman By Decision +165
- Colby Covington By Decision +400
- Colby Covington Inside Distance +525
- Draw +6600
Usman has finished each of his last two fights, Gilbert Burns and Jorge Masvidal, both by highlight-reel knockouts, and has really shown he’s a problem on the feet as well as on the mat.
This angle of Usman's KO of Masvidal 😤 #UFC261[h/t IG/chasskelly] pic.twitter.com/NfV3MBCF91
— Vover (@voveraudio) April 25, 2021
With three finishes in his last four fights, Usman should probably have shorter odds to win the fight inside the distance in the rematch against Covington.
Rose Namajunas Vs. Weili Zhang: Fight To Complete 3 Rounds
Even though the first meeting between Rose Namajunas and Weili Zhang lasted just over a minute, there’s value in betting the fight to finish three full rounds. After all, UFC betting sites have the line as the favorite for a reason.
Fight To Complete 3 Full Rounds
- Yes -190
- No +145
Namajunas has had five of her last nine fights complete three full rounds while Zhang has seen every other fight go the distance dating back to August of 2018.
However, the reason why this bet has the most value is that both fighters are tough to finish. Namajunas has been finished just twice in her 14 professional fights while Zhang has been knocked out just once in her 23 professional bouts.
Those who are scared away by the last fight’s result need to realize that Zhang absorbed 186 strikes against Joanna Jedrzejczyk and was not knocked out while Namajunas has landed 100+ strikes in bouts before and has not finished her opponent.
Flash knockouts are a part of the sport but happen so rarely that it shouldn’t be a deterrent from betting on round totals.
Shane Burgos Vs. Billy Quarantillo: Not To Go The Distance
Shane Burgos is always in exciting fights and has shown a willingness to take the octagon and either finish his opponent or get finished himself. In his professional career, 12 of his 16 fights have ended before the final bell. There are generous odds for it to happen again.
Burgos vs Quarantillo To Go The Distance
- Yes -130
- No EVEN
Not only does Burgos finish fights, but Billy Quarantillo does as well. A total of 13 of his 19 professional bouts have ended by way of a finish, including in seven of his last nine fights.
Both fighters have extremely high work rates has Burgos lands 7.29 significant strikes per minute while Quarantillo is landing 7.08 per minute.
The main card will begin at 10 p.m. EST on Saturday night and can be watched by buying the PPV through ESPN+.