Phillies-Padres Trend Reveals Value On Run Line

  • The San Diego Padres are -120 favorites in Game 1 of the NLCS against the Philadelphia Phillies.
  • The Padres and the Phillies played seven games in the regular season, with the Phillies winning four.
  • In all seven of those games, the outright winner also covered the run line.

SAN DIEGO - The San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies meet in the NLCS, the first time in modern baseball that two teams with less than 90 meet there.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres Game 1 Odds

  • Philadelphia Phillies +100
  • San Diego Padres -120

The Phillies and Padres played in seven games this season, with the Phillies winning four and the Padres winning three.

In all of the Padres’ victories over the Phillies, they shut out Philadelphia’s dangerous lineup, winning 1-0, 2-0 and 3-0 respectively.

Phillies vs. Padres Scores During Regular Season

  • 06/26/22 Philadelphia 8-5 San Diego
  • 06/25/22 Philadelphia 4-2 San Diego
  • 06/24/22 San Diego 1-0 Philadelphia
  • 06/23/22 Philadelphia 6-2 San Diego
  • 05/19/22 San Diego 2-0 Philadelphia
  • 05/18/22 Philadelphia 3-0 San Diego
  • 05/17/22 San Diego 3-0 Philadelphia

The road team won five of the seven games played between these two squads. Three times that was Philly, and twice it was San Diego.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres Game 1 Run Line Odds

  • Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-220)
  • San Diego Padres -1.5 (+180)

In every one of these seven games, the winner covered the run line, meaning Philly covered it four times, and San Diego three.

This carries some implications for MLB betting fans – it might simply be reasonable to take the underdog on the run line, rather than on the moneyline, given how this has occurred in every game between these teams.